- 7 years ago
- Wedding: November 1999
We just sent out our save the dates for our September 2011 wedding, semi-destination wedding. We’re getting married at a California ski resort about a 3.5 hour drive from where we currently live. Most of my family is within a 10 hour drive of the wedding (or very short plane ride), while FI’s family is almost all on the east coast. This makes planning difficult, since I have no idea how many people are going to attend!
We really can’t afford to have everyone actually show up to the wedding. So, to ease my anxiety, I worked through some calculations to help me come up with a realistic guestimate of the number of people attending our wedding.
We invited a total of 192 people – 168 adults, and 24 kids (under 10). [We LOVE kids!] 40% are Bride guests, 50% are groom guests, 10% are common guests.
The guest list breaks down further as follows:
12 adults/8 kids are immediate family members – 100% will attend
31 adults/2 kids (or 17%) are within a 4 hour drive of our wedding – guessing 90% attendance rate
22 adults/6 kids (or 15%) are within an 10 hour drive of our wedding – guessing 70% attendance rate
103 adults/8 kids (or 58%) are really far away – most of them are about 3000 miles away – guessing 50% attendance rate
Thus, by my guestimate*, we should expect to have about 108 adults at our wedding (and approximately 18 kids). That works out to an approximate 56% overall acceptance rate. I wish I could calculate the over/under percentage. My gut feeling is that its more likely to be between 80-100 adults.
Anyone want to make a bet on whether or not I am right in the end?
*note – The last time I took a math class was in 1998. I make no claims to have accurately calculated this, but it seemed right to me.