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Guest List Forecasting: How does it work?

posted 4 years ago in Beehive
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    1.
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    Newbee
    meladoriem    july 2008   nyc

    hi, all--

    we're just starting to put together our guest list and i may have seen it on weddingbee (at this point, i can't remember) but just wondering if anyone had created an excel sheet or some document that could forecast the % of guests that would likely attend. i may be crazy, i know it exists on some software, but i'm sure i've seen a bee write about it or created her own.

    thanks! 

     
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    Worker bee
    Weazie    10/20/07   Durham, NC

    I've always heard that about 20% of the invited guests wouldn't come, so I based things on that calculation.

    200 guests invited - 20% (40 people)= 160 will come.

     I think we will have more than that though now that RSVPs are rolling in, so you might want to estimate about 15% or so not coming.

     Sorry, have never heard of a program that figures that stuff out for you...good luck!

     
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    Newbee
    meduzagirl    09/29/07   Fairfax, VA

    Here's what we did:

    In excel, we put everyone's name in their own cell, in their own row.

    Next to their name, we put their likelyhood of coming as a percentage.

    John  .2

    Paul  1

    Ringo .5

    George .5 

    Then we totaled the likelihoods and came up with our guest estimate. 

    So we were 100% certain Paul would make it, 20% for John and George and Ringo were 50% each.  So we have an estimated attendance of 2.2

    Make sense?   

     

     

     
    4.
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    Newbee
    meladoriem    july 2008   nyc

    Got it! That's perfect and will work really well in my Excel sheet since I haven't grouped people together.

    Thanks, Meduzagirl & Weazie. Really appreciate it!

     
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    Helper bee
    eggplant    October 20, 2010   San Francisco

    I would concur that our decline rate was 20% with about 85-90% of our guests from in-town. I'd say if you over invite by 15%, you should be pretty safe.

     

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