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Great post! I wanna hear what the married bees have to say.
Our 15 day forecast was fairly accurate, although it predicted rain on our wedding day. It was a little overcast in the morning, but was totally clear and sunny during the day. I think once you get further than a few days out, they're just predicting based on previous trends and aren't usually that accurate.
FWIW, I usually track weather on the NOAA's site, although they only go about a week in advance. They tend to be more accurate than weather.com or accuweather.
In general, I think weather forecasting is complete BULL. I have stalked weather sites for other events (such as my outdoors engagement BBQ in June) and it \said a 90% chance of rain an hour before the party was supposed to start...Didn't rain all night, was beautiful and sunny (although kinda humid)...,The radar is probably the most accurate but that isn't really available until the day of...Good luck, will keep my fingers crossed for you!
Holy crap! I just realized I can start looking at that! Thanks Heathaah!
I'm pretty leary of weather forecasts - they're never 100% right. I have found it pretty reliable to look at the days around your wedding - the friday and sunday for most. If the Saturday is holding steady at maybe 30% rain but the Sunday is calling for 100% rain all day - there's a good chance that storm could come through earlier. Or late night Friday storms that linger. Just looking at ONE day and specific time periods isn't as reliable - nor should it be.
When I'm watching the weather for one reason or another, I try checking many different sources and comparing what they all say. From local tv stations to weather.com. Two other good ones are:
I don't tend to take those forecasts too seriously. We were stalking the weather forecast for the Jimmy Buffett concert in June. It said it would rain all day (we were tailgating and had lawn seats) It downpoured once and was overcast the rest of the day.
We stalked our weather for Vegas last September and it said something like 85 for the whole weekend. It was like 98 and blazing hot the whole time we were there.
I feel like I could name a million other examples. I think the forecasts are pretty much BS.
It's good.
It is one of the very few websites that list humidity.
70f or 20c degrees with low humidity is lovely.
Those numbers with high humidity means misery.
To me, New Orleans is miserable 9 months of each year. Very humid there.
But gotta love that city!
Great thread! I'm ready to start stalking the weather! Not that I can do much about it.
No weather site is completely right BUT I find that accuweather is the MOST accurate. I check it before any big event and most often it is pretty spot on.
Tessabella and Caitlanc...How is your forecast? Mine says AM showers and cloudy all day! UGHHH
As a meteorologist's daughter...nothing is very reliable 15 days out. It may turn out to be your forecast, but it is hard to predict things even a week in advance.
@jessie517 -- maybe it is accurate for where you live, but it has been completely wrong even for the next day for temperature by a full 15 degrees. I have a friend who lives 4 hours away (in Portland) and she was saying that according to NOAA Portland was supposed to be hotter than Medford. Which would be VERY unusual. Turns out NOAA was her source of info. For that reason, I wouldn't trust them for my city. But that doesn't mean that it isn't reliable elsewhere.
I vote Accuweather as well. But 15 day out forcasts aren't really reliable from anywhere. There are so many variables, that 15 days is at best an educated guess.
Here's hoping it's not terribly accurate, everything is outdoors for us! I'm sure we'll be fine though. Maybe we'll have some of that cloudy light that is supposed to be so good for pictures...
weather.jpg (16 KB, 50 downloads) 2 years old
Ha! Looks like I could have answered my own question had I waited a few days! My forecast keeps changing!!
The forecasts seem to change a lot from 14/15 days out. At least, mine did. my 15 day forecast said rainy and cloudy, and now that we're only 5 days out, I've got sunny with some clouds in the morning! Durnit weather people!! Lol (kidding, I know it's seriously hard to predict the weather)
Proof that your forecast isn't set in stone and can change! ;-)
I mean, I'm stoked that it's not 77 and rainy anymore but almost 90 is a bit too far in the other direction! Oh well. I'm just curious to see how it actually turns out.
weather2.jpg (30.5 KB, 55 downloads) 2 years old You must log in to post.
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For those of you who stalked accuweather 15 days before your wedding, how accurate did you find it to be?
I have been stalking for a few days, but I won't see our actual wedding day forcast until tommorow. I did notice that between yesterday and today, some of the forecasts for the few days before had changed pretty drastically.
How accurate was your forecast?