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How accurate are weather forecasts?

posted 2 years ago in May 2010
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    1.
    Member
    369 posts
    Helper bee
    Miss Cheeky    May 8, 2010   South Jersey

    So today we are 9 days away from the wedding! Among the million other things I am worried about, weather is one of them. I am close enough now to start checking the weather, but I am seeing mixed reports already! My question for all the bees is how accurate are weather forecasts? When should I start to think the forecast is accurate, how many days out???!!

     
    2.
    Hostess
    16,857 posts
    Honey
    Beekeeper
    MissAsB    June 6, 2009   Married in CO, Living in AL

    That far out, they aren't always very reliable.

     
    3.
    Member
    225 posts
    Helper bee
    mrsRtobe    May 8, 2010   Houston

    the error bars are huge this far out. Don't start fretting yet!! (Though I can't start feeling comfortable that it will be sunny and 80 with a low of 60 here either...)

     
    4.
    Member
    43 posts
    Newbee
    Reese    May 8, 2010   Ft. Lauderdale

    They can forecast something and still be inaccurate!  Don't worry so much.  I'm trying not to! 

    They said today would be sunny and pretty outside and right now it's cloudy.  You never know what you'll get!

     
    5.
    Member
    407 posts
    Helper bee
    FMILady    June 6, 2010   Texas

    4 or five days out starts to get fairly accurate.  Watch your satellite every day- you can spot wind and cloud direction.

     
    6.
    Member
    127 posts
    Blushing bee
    RedCactus    April 2, 2010  

    Around 3 days in, they are somewhat accurate. At 10 days, do not worry.

    10 days away from my wedding, the forecast predicted 50 degrees with RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM not only on that day, but on the day before and the day after. I thought I was screwed haha.

    5 days before the wedding, the forecast predicted 75 degrees with showers in the morning only.

    The wedding day ended up being 73 degrees, no showers, sunshine the entire time. And this is APRIL in NEW YORK. 

     
    7.
    Member
    369 posts
    Helper bee
    Miss Cheeky    May 8, 2010   South Jersey

    Thanks ladies! I am just worrying too much. I checked the weather today and it says partly sunny and 80 degrees!! No rain at all! Hopefully this forecast is accurate!!!

     

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