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I'd also take into account what time of day it is. I'm running into the same problem -- I'm buying the alcohol, but I think I'll either use the leftover or send it home with a guest. You can use the calculator on Evite: http://www.evite.com/pages/party/drink-calculator.jsp
That told me to get 65 beers and 13 bottles of wine!
Wow! That drink calculator is amazing! But jeez...131 bottles of beer and 23 bottles of wine?! That's going to get pricey! And considering me and my FI won't even be drinking except for a glass of champagne for me (he doesn't drink)...but ah well, it's a once in a lifetime party.
try to find a place that will let you return unopened wine and/or beer. I know there are quite a few places out there that will!
There is a more extensive alcohol calculator for your wedding, it will calculate quantity AND cost. Also, you can include more factors, and get a more accurate estimation.
Here is what I wrote for a similar post:
I can only tell you what my experience was...
We had 80 guests, all adults. We bought 18 bottles of champagne, 5 cases of wine (3 red, 2 white), and 12 cases of beer. We ran out of champagne early. All of the wine was finished, but not before the party ended. We returned 4 cases of beer, so we would have only needed 8.
We also had two cases of Diet Coke, one case of Coke, and 2 cases of sparkling water. The water got finished, but the soda was barely touched.
Big caveats: I knew that if we offered champagne, it would get finished. We just had a champagne-loving crowd and we had super yummy bubbly. I should have ordered at least 2 cases. We got married in Northern California, where the wine is fabulous, and many of our guests were from out of town, so I should have known that wine would be more popular than beer. I should have ordered another 1-2 cases of wine, and cut back on beer.
The last thing you want is to run out of booze, so I would buy from a store that lets you return unopened bottles of wine/cases of beer and buy more than you think you need. (I don't know what stores are near you, but I know that Costco and BevMo let you return. So do most independent stores.)
One more thing - if you have a BevMo near you, 4x/year they have a 5 cent sale where you buy one bottle of wine and get another for 5 cents, so it's basically BOGO. If you can find a wine you like on that sale, you can save A LOT of money.
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I'm only providing beer and wine to my 50 guests, and I'm buying it myself. (Having someone else serve it though.) Most of the people will drink, but I'm not sure how to plan on how much I should buy exactly...me and my FI don't drink beer, so I really have no clue on how much beer I should buy. It's a dinner buffet reception, and most of our guests are older or have kids. Only two or three of our guests have a history of getting plastered at social functions such as these...how did you plan for alcohol consumption?