POLL: How many guests should we anticipate?

posted 3 years ago in Destination Weddings
  • poll: We're sending 175 invitations. Given the background above, how many guests should we anticipate?
    More than 140 guests : (1 votes)
    4 %
    80% or 140 guests : (1 votes)
    4 %
    70% or about 120 guests : (6 votes)
    25 %
    60% or about 100 guests : (4 votes)
    17 %
    50% or about 85 guests : (1 votes)
    4 %
    40% or 70 guests : (3 votes)
    13 %
    30% or about 50 guests : (1 votes)
    4 %
    Fewer than 50 guests : (7 votes)
    29 %
  • Post # 2
    Member
    6028 posts
    Bee Keeper
    • Wedding: October 2014

    The combination of expensive hotels plus either an expensive flight or a long-ass bus ride will keep your numbers down.

    Post # 3
    Member
    1441 posts
    Bumble bee
    • Wedding: September 2014

    It depends how close the guests are to you (relationship wise, not travel).  I would not go to an event like that for anyone except immediate family.

    Post # 4
    Member
    2018 posts
    Buzzing bee

    Unless most of the people on your guest list are loaded I tend to agree with the previous posters–the cost will probably deter a significant portion of your guest list, but I wouldn’t be able to estimate a specific percentage.  Like @HannahGrace, I would not attend a wedding that would be this expensive for anyone other than my sibling or my very best friend.

    Post # 5
    Member
    267 posts
    Helper bee
    • Wedding: July 2016

    I have to agree with PP’s unless money isn’t an issue I wouldn’t attend unless it was immediate family or a realllly close friend.

    Post # 6
    Member
    2565 posts
    Sugar bee
    • Wedding: October 2014

    It’s going to depend on your guests.  We are having a wedding in Florida, my family is spread out in Ontario, Michigan, and North Carolina, his family is in Minnesota.  We are inviting 120, and hoping at least 40 will come.

    Post # 7
    Member
    3941 posts
    Honey bee
    • Wedding: June 2014

    acriqui:   I voted fewer than 50 simply because I think that, outside of immediate family, very few guests would relish any of the choices.  

    Post # 9
    Member
    6028 posts
    Bee Keeper
    • Wedding: October 2014

    Another factor is Aspen being very pricey but not being the first pick of vacation spot for most folks. Sam Francisco, LA, Chicago and NYC are also pricey but folks might be more inclined to go there because they can stick around a few days and sightsee.

    Post # 11
    Member
    889 posts
    Busy bee
    • Wedding: June 2015

    This is virtually impossible to answer without knowing your guests…. What age bracket the majority fall into, how much disposable income they are likely to have,  profession (problems getting time off work?), existing plans, clashes with other events, childcare, age/mobility, like to travel etc. 

    What I will say though is that it sounds like a long journey and quite an expensive destination so you may need to prepare yourself for low numbers.

    Post # 12
    Member
    146 posts
    Blushing bee
    • Wedding: October 2014

    I would think that you would get at least 50% if not more (I answered 70%). Aspen is pricey, but it isn’t that hard to book a hotel a few miles away for cheaper. I have a similar situation with my wedding, and I found that a lot of guests were excited to visit and more likely to attend, moreso than if we chose a major city they had already been to before. 

    Also, not sure if Aspen has a lot of places, but a lot of my friend groups ended up renting houses all together via HomeAway or AirBNB so they could all stay together. That made things a lot cheaper. 

    Post # 14
    Member
    1769 posts
    Buzzing bee
    • Wedding: July 2014

    sorry, but this really depends on things you haven’t answered- how close are you 2 to your friends? Family? What percentage of invites are to friends? Family? How financially set are your friends? Family? Or how often do they take trips requiring long drives and/or plane travel? Hiw many are likely to be pregnant or have newborns around that time or have young kids who they tend not to take in vacays except visiting family? How organized do they think you are? Are you or your FI the oldest or youngest or favorite or first marriage in the family? Are there any potential serious disputes or drama with either family that could make them less likely to come?

    if you give us answers to those questions, we might be able to help you, but, as is, it could range from 25% to 80 or 90% imo. We have a similar domestic destination wedding (not sure how our guests might vary from yours til there’s more info) and our final percentage of 203 invited who’ll attend is going to be somewhere from 54%-62.5%. 

    youll get the most accurare estimate if you give a percentage on an excel sheet for each guest (0, .25, .5, .75, or 1) and then add those all up. You can even crest three different estimates that way if you make a column of most likely percentages, an overestimate of percentages, and an underestimate. 

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