Weather…which forecast is most 'reliable'?

posted 3 years ago in Logistics
Post # 2
Member
3960 posts
Honey bee
  • Wedding: June 2014

 

MsGinkgo:   I think Accuweather is a bit more accurate, do you also have Wunderground?  They tend to be a bit pessimistic in terms of precipitation but not too far off in terms of temperature.  Wishing you fabulous weather!!  

Post # 3
Member
6028 posts
Bee Keeper
  • Wedding: October 2013

9 days out, none of them are accurate. However, I’ve noticed Accuweather tends to be the best. You just need to wait until a few days before.

Post # 6
Member
6028 posts
Bee Keeper
  • Wedding: October 2013

I think you will be fine to have it outdoors. Your guests will more than likely check the forecast before they leave the house and bring a light jacket if they think they’ll need it. As long as it’s not too windy, 57 is still warm enough to be outside.

Post # 7
Member
1157 posts
Bumble bee
  • Wedding: June 2014

IzzyBear:  Agreed- it’s really too early!

OP- I know this is hard to accept (and believe me, I’ll be rabidly checking the forecast when come June 7th) but there’s no way to tell right now. 

FWIW, I use weather.gov (NOAA) but I’m guessing you’re in Canada based on the celsius!

Post # 8
Member
1287 posts
Bumble bee
  • Wedding: May 2014

MsGinkgo:  Sadly, I vote none of them.  I started stalking all sites 10 days out, and they read pretty much the same.  As the days creeped up, it changed a bazillion times, and the day before it went from cloudy with 50% rain, to mix of clouds and sun with 40% rain in the morning only.  It did not rain at all that morning, and we had a few subtle showers that afternoon – enough that we needed to shoot indoors for a portion of our portraits.  In between, the sky was sunny!!!  

Post # 9
Member
3735 posts
Sugar bee
  • Wedding: September 2014

MsGinkgo:  A lot can change in 9 days. I wouldn’t put too much stock in either just yet. Maybe 5 days out but 9? That’s still a lot of time for things to shift.

I’d rely on local weather more than anything because they know your area’s unique weather patterns, if at all.

Post # 10
Member
8917 posts
Buzzing Beekeeper
  • Wedding: August 2013 - Rocky Mountains USA

MsGinkgo:  I’m bascially a professional weather stalker (wildlife biologist = dependent on the weather a LOT for work… case in point, I’m chilling in my hotel room right now instead of doing aerial raptor nest surveys cause it’s too cloudy/foggy to fly, ugh.)

ANYWAY – I like to look at Weather Underground and NOAA (US government).  They both have pretty nice hourly and 10-day forecasts where you can look at chance of precip, cloud cover, wind, etc etc.

Good luck with your wedding weather!

ETA: and yeah, obviously a LOT can change in 9 days.  In my experience, the general trend (rain the middle of next week) will be fairly on-point, but the specifics (which day, how much rain, whether it’s a 1-hour storm or a 3-day extended on-and-off thing) is hard to predict until just a couple days out.

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