Post # 1
So I’m currently stalking the forecase for my wedding in 9 days (eeeeep!!!) and actually the other sites I usually check don’t seem to do extended range…
Accuweather – 18 (64) and sunny
Weather Network – 14 (57) and sunny
I feel like there’s a pretty big temp difference there in terms of guest comfort outdoors…what do you think?
I’m just trying to make a decision earlier than later about if i have to move my evening ceremony inside (and I don’t really want to but I’m not going to make my guests sit out in the cold either…)
Post # 2
MsGinkgo: I think Accuweather is a bit more accurate, do you also have Wunderground? They tend to be a bit pessimistic in terms of precipitation but not too far off in terms of temperature. Wishing you fabulous weather!!
Post # 3
9 days out, none of them are accurate. However, I’ve noticed Accuweather tends to be the best. You just need to wait until a few days before.
Post # 4
Astra: hadn’t heard of Wunderground, they’re saying 15 and partly cloudy (can’t figure out how to get it to tell me in F)
Post # 5
IzzyBear: I know it’s not accurate that’s why i said ‘reliable’ – thankfully it seems to be getting better not worse.
Post # 6
I think you will be fine to have it outdoors. Your guests will more than likely check the forecast before they leave the house and bring a light jacket if they think they’ll need it. As long as it’s not too windy, 57 is still warm enough to be outside.
Post # 7
IzzyBear: Agreed- it’s really too early!
OP- I know this is hard to accept (and believe me, I’ll be rabidly checking the forecast when come June 7th) but there’s no way to tell right now.
FWIW, I use weather.gov (NOAA) but I’m guessing you’re in Canada based on the celsius!
Post # 8
MsGinkgo: Sadly, I vote none of them. I started stalking all sites 10 days out, and they read pretty much the same. As the days creeped up, it changed a bazillion times, and the day before it went from cloudy with 50% rain, to mix of clouds and sun with 40% rain in the morning only. It did not rain at all that morning, and we had a few subtle showers that afternoon – enough that we needed to shoot indoors for a portion of our portraits. In between, the sky was sunny!!!
Post # 9
MsGinkgo: A lot can change in 9 days. I wouldn’t put too much stock in either just yet. Maybe 5 days out but 9? That’s still a lot of time for things to shift.
I’d rely on local weather more than anything because they know your area’s unique weather patterns, if at all.
Post # 10
- Wedding: August 2013 - Rocky Mountains USA
MsGinkgo: I’m bascially a professional weather stalker (wildlife biologist = dependent on the weather a LOT for work… case in point, I’m chilling in my hotel room right now instead of doing aerial raptor nest surveys cause it’s too cloudy/foggy to fly, ugh.)
ANYWAY – I like to look at Weather Underground and NOAA (US government). They both have pretty nice hourly and 10-day forecasts where you can look at chance of precip, cloud cover, wind, etc etc.
Good luck with your wedding weather!
ETA: and yeah, obviously a LOT can change in 9 days. In my experience, the general trend (rain the middle of next week) will be fairly on-point, but the specifics (which day, how much rain, whether it’s a 1-hour storm or a 3-day extended on-and-off thing) is hard to predict until just a couple days out.