Post # 1
I had a MC in Setember. One of the things I did while pregnant was obsessively check the likelihood of a MC by the day. Now that I am thinking about TTC again, I am looking up odds of two consecutive MC’s, and the numbers are very confusing. I get three general ideas. You have the same chance as having one MC as you have with two MC’s. You have a slightly higher chance of having a second MC if you already had one. The last one is only 5% of women have 2 consecutive MC. I am not a numbers person, but certainly the first idea must be false. If I have a 1/6 chance of rolling a 5 on a die, and I roll a 5, then how can the next roll have a 1/6 chance of rolling a 5. Won’t it be less likely to roll two 5’s in a row? (Please understand that I am not minimizing MC. I am still grieving from mine. I would just like clarity)
Post # 2
It depends on many things. If there is an underlying problem that caused the first MC then you would be more likely to have a second, third, etc. If there is no underlying problem, then theoretically you have the same chance as someone who has never had a MC before. My mom, my Mother-In-Law, and three cousins all had miscarriages and went on to have a healthy, successful pregnancy the second time around. I also know one person who had several MCs in a row due to an underlying problem. Unless you go through all the testing, you won’t know yet. But for your analogy, yes you have a 1/6 chance of rolling a 5 the first time, and you have a 1/6 chance of rolling a 5 the second time, that’s just straight probability, previous number doesn’t matter. MCs aren’t the same as rolling a die (obviously) so it’s hard to put a number with it. Hopefully #2 will be sticky and healthy!
Post # 3
MrsN14: Thank you so much for making some sense of it. Obviously in the end, I know all the numbers and statistics don’t matter. I will just continue to pray for my own rainbow.