(Closed) Confused about MC stats

posted 4 years ago in TTC
Post # 2
3276 posts
Sugar bee
  • Wedding: June 2014

It depends on many things. If there is an underlying problem that caused the first MC then you would be more likely to have a second, third, etc. If there is no underlying problem, then theoretically you have the same chance as someone who has never had a MC before. My mom, my Mother-In-Law, and three cousins all had miscarriages and went on to have a healthy, successful pregnancy the second time around. I also know one person who had several MCs in a row due to an underlying problem. Unless you go through all the testing, you won’t know yet. But for your analogy, yes you have a 1/6 chance of rolling a 5 the first time, and you have a 1/6 chance of rolling a 5 the second time, that’s just straight probability, previous number doesn’t matter. MCs aren’t the same as rolling a die (obviously) so it’s hard to put a number with it. Hopefully #2 will be sticky and healthy! 

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