Thanks everyone. I’ve misjudged my post, so my apologies. No direct comparison between the UK and the US intended or given. I could, of course compare:
1. Boris and Nicola;
2. Fauci/Birx and Pence.
With the first comparison (I’m not an SNP supporter by the way) I know that she has played the better hand. The Westminster government and various newspapers have downplayed the seriousness of the situation through mixed messages in recent weeks. A couple of days ago the South Coast of England had a problem when half a million people rushed to the beaches with little social distancing between people.
It’s worth saying that the UK’s daily rate of COVID cases at around 900-1200 is higher per head of population than that of the US. The higher death rate the UK is due to only recording those in hospital at the beginning of the crisis and the older population of the UK. We have a higher proportion of over 65s.
Scotland is, of course, a different country from England. It has a population size about the same as Yorkshire. I should know. I’m a Yorkshire woman living on Scotland. It (Scotland) has the advantage of not been heavily populated on the whole so many of us live in small towns. It does have some highly populated areas one of which has been often quoted as the the least healthy place in Europe but so far it has not suffered overwhelming COVID numbers. Nicola has had the wisdom to delay lockdown lifting sufficiently (2-3 weeks) to learn from England’s experiences.
I also wonder whether female heads of state (Sturgeon, Ardern, Merkel) are “allowed” to be more cautious by their populations.
On the Fauci/Birx and Pence comparison, I saw the press conference yesterday with Pence, Fauci and Birx. The politician was saying very different things from the scientists. In fact I was struck by the fact that Pence was pushing responsibility onto states and individuals. He also was giving a strong message by not wearing a mask. Masks tend to protect other people so he was doing others in the room a great discurtesy and putting them at risk.
Around the world, counties just coming out of lockdown have a long, slow descent in terms of daily numbers of new cases. R is probably only just less than 1, the.growth rate must only just be negative. It’s as though the number of daily cases a country has coming out of lockdown is the number it is stuck with for a while.
The question is what happens next.
Over the last few days the numbers of daily cases in America have suddenly risen significantly, enough in my mind to raise many alarm bells. It is that change that should be worrying politicians. It certainly worries me.
I see a further crisis looming and all I can give is the miniscule advice to keep taking the scientists seriously, keep socially distanced and keep wearing a mask. It’s worth pretending that there is a little more lockdown is in place than there actually is. COVID-19 has not gone away and we don’t have a vaccine yet.
In the meantime I’m missing my beach holidays and I think it will be a long while before I’m allowed to go on another.