# (Closed) Just for fun: Hypothetical

posted 5 years ago in The Lounge
• poll: Which would you rather?
80 %
\$5,000,000 at 75% chance : (14 votes)
14 %
\$50,000,000 at 50% chance : (6 votes)
6 %
• Post # 3
Member
25 posts
Newbee
• Wedding: November 2015

any amount of money would be awesome!!!!!! wedding to save for

Post # 4
Member
621 posts
Busy bee
• Wedding: November 2012

guaranteed money! I would probably be kicking myself for the rest of my life if I chanced it and lost!

Post # 5
Hostess
2999 posts
Sugar bee
• Wedding: April 2014

I would probably do the 5 mill at 75%.  I’m a bit of a gambler and have great luck ๐

Post # 6
Member
4371 posts
Honey bee

The expected values are 1 million, 3.75 million, and 25 million, respectively. It’s a no brainer for me.

Post # 7
Member
291 posts
Helper bee
• Wedding: November 2014

awesome post! I think 75% is pretty great chances. I would be willing to chance it bc of the larger sum ๐

Post # 8
Hostess
2556 posts
Sugar bee
• Wedding: May 2014

Go big or go home — \$50,000,00 at 50% chance.  ๐

Post # 9
Member
1185 posts
Bumble bee
• Wedding: April 2012

A cool million would go a very long way for us right now. I would definitely take it and run to the bank.

Post # 10
Member
13096 posts
Honey Beekeeper
• Wedding: July 2010

I’d probably (emotionally) want to take the \$1,000,000 because Darling Husband and I are young enough that if we were able to invest a million now, we’d be in great shape when we want to retire with all of the compounding.

But the logical/mathematical side of me would jump to the expected values of each situation (1 million, 3.75 million, and 25 million, respectively as a PP pointed out), and know that, based on expected value, the 50% chance at \$50,000,000 is the best bet.

Ultimately though, I see myself balancing the risk vs. reward (and my emotional versus logical thoughts) and going with the 75% shot at \$5,000,000.

Post # 11
Member
8471 posts
Bumble Beekeeper
• Wedding: July 2012

To me, it’s all about guarantees!

Post # 12
Member
601 posts
Busy bee
• Wedding: March 2013

I would take the guaranteed money a million dollars is a lot of money and with two kids I could do a lot with that in the small town I live in with money left over for there college education and things.

Post # 13
Member
9139 posts
Buzzing Beekeeper
• Wedding: November 2013 - St. Augustine Beach, FL

A guaranteed million could pay off my loans and buy a new car as well as a nice honeymoon and I would have plenty left over to put back in the bank for the proverbial “rainy” day.

Post # 14
Member
1459 posts
Bumble bee
• Wedding: July 2017 - Bristol zoo

Bird in the hand = two in the bush XD

Plus I’d totes just reinvest that 1 mill and work it up to 5 mill XD

Post # 16
Member
772 posts
Busy bee
• Wedding: April 2015

Guaranteed million would be lovely, I wouldn’t want to take the risk on the other two even though 75% is high! £1m would buy a house, pay off student loans and have a lovely wedding, potentially with some change!

The topic ‘Just for fun: Hypothetical’ is closed to new replies.

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